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26-12-2006 21:23
Excess deaths & French, British colonial
Thank you for your sensible question. 
 
As shown above, the excess deaths associated with 2 centuries of British rule of India can be estimated at about 1.5 billion. (A confirmatory, very rough way of looking at this is considering that India had a population of about 300 million in 1900 and Britain kept most Indians right on the edge of survival as indeed confirmed explicitly in a speech to the House of Commons by no less than Winston Churchill in about 1936). 
 
As for French and British rule of Arab countries one could assume a similar level of "excess death" (excess mortality, avoidable death, avoidable mortality, deaths that did not have to happen) and a population of the Arab World in about 1920 of about 100 million. Nearly all their Subjects were dying prematurely, ergo we are looking at hundreds of millions of excess deaths of British, French and Italian colonial Arab subjects. 
 
Another way of estimating this is to look at total "1950-2005 excess deaths" in countries subject to ANY major French and British colonial rule in the post-war era (i.e. we are assuming that the effects of colonialism "linger" to some extent) - the totals are 142 million and 727 million for the French and British subjects, respectively. Divide by 2 to get estimates for the Muslim subjects (i.e. 70 million and 360 million, respectively) and by about 10 to get estimates for Arab subjects (14 million and 70 million, respectively). 
 
More precisely, one can estimate from the same UN-derived post-1950 demographic data the "excess deaths" associated with exact periods of colonial rule for specific countries. Thus the excess deaths associated with French rule during the Algerian war of Independence 1954-1962 totalled 1.2 million. 
 
I will write a more detailed analysis for MWC News. Thank you again for your sensible question.
Gideon Polya
 

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