This estimate of 563,000 post-invasion Iraqi avoidable deaths is in good agreement with the estimate by Burnham et al in the article in The Lancet (2006) of post-invasion war-associated deaths totalling 655,000.

Method #2. Another way of estimating post-invasion Iraqi deaths due to war is from under-5 infant mortality figures reported and regularly updated by UNICEF. Detailed analysis of infant mortality and avoidable mortality for every country in the world since 1950 reveals that for Third World countries "under-5 infant mortality" is about 0.7 times the "total "avoidable mortality" (see MWC News). Checking the latest data on the UNICEF website we see that 122,000 under-5 year old infants die each year (12 months)  in Occupied Iraq i.e. 122,000 x 44/12 = 447,333 would have died over the 44 months since the invasion; dividing by 0.7 yields an estimate of 639,000 post-invasion avoidable deaths in Occupied Iraq - in close agreement with the estimate reported in the article by Burnham et al (2006)  in The Lancet.

Method #3. A further way has been to consider the initial report by Roberts et al (2004) in The Lancet in which they estimated a post-invasion annual death rate of 12.3 persons per 1,000 of population (see: HERE ; for critical comment see Wikipedia). Subtracting the annual death rate in impoverished but peaceful neighbouring Syria and Jordan (about 4 deaths per 1,000 of population) we get a post-invasion annual avoidable death rate of 8.3 per 1,000. This yields an estimated post-invasion avoidable mortality of 791,000.
Method #4. The present Burnham et al (2006) estimate from a cross-sectional cluster sample survey is of 655,000 post-invasion avoidable deaths.

There is remarkable agreement between all these estimates that derive four (4) quite distinct data sets. The only major concern is the very high proportion of avoidable deaths attributed to violence in the latest Burnham et al. (2006) study.

Whatever the minutiae of the analysis, it is clear that for honest, non-racist people of goodwill there is clear evidence from 4 separate data sets indicating horrendous post-invasion Iraqi deaths that in turn are indicative of gross violation of the Geneva Conventions by the Coalition Occupiers. The information  in data sets #1-3 has been around for several years but has been steadfastly ignored by racist lying mainstream media and racist, lying Coalition politicians.  

Denial of the Jewish Holocaust is a criminal offence in Israel and in Austria, France, Germany and Switzerland.  The denial of authoritatively-based estimates of the horrendous post-invasion avoidable deaths associated with the Bush Wars is egregious, racist, holocaust denial by racist, lying Mainstream media and racist, lying Western politicians.

This carnage demands international legal action via the International Criminal Court against the main Coalition perpetrators (notably Bush and Blair) (as recommended by 2005 Nobel Laureate Harold Pinter ) and international and intra-national sanctions and boycotts against those complicit in these continuing crimes against humanity.  If refusing an Arab a table in a restaurant is anti-Arab anti-Semitism, what does one call the war criminal mass murder of 0.6 million Iraqis?

================

Dr Gideon Polya,  MWC News Chief political editor, published some 130 works in a 4 decade scientific career, most recently a huge pharmacological reference text "Biochemical Targets of Plant Bioactive Compounds" (CRC Press/Taylor & Francis, New York & London, 2003), and is currently writing a book on global mortality ---

Contact Dr.Polya By E-mail

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