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Jan 31 2007
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By James Secor   
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China's Economy Surges on Right Past Reality
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Translation

If you tighten bank credit and restrict investment you are definitely cutting down on spending but as the spending is already at an unacceptably low level--according to government economic experts--why is this being done? Will Xie come out next year or the year after and gloat that these programs have worked and have put the skids to runaway spending? Image

Wowzer! How utterly like. . .y'know, Skinner cheated on his rat experiments, too, starving them before he put them in his maze. All of this, though, flies in the face of the opening up of foreign banks doing business and the increase in foreign investment, especially in the automotive sector of economic growth standard measuring devices. I don't think anyone read this article with an eye to thinking, for there are no comments. Gosh--it all sounds good! Yup, yup, yup. And then we're going to take you to the cleaners.

It has also cracked down on wasteful investments, naming and shaming local officials it says have failed to comply with orders to tighten up planning procedures and observe tougher environmental protection criteria. -- You see. . .the way it works in China is you break the legs of the little guys, calling it a blow against corruption, and leave the big corrupters and blunderers and greed-driven free to continue their non-compliance.

Why? Because it's good for business. It seems to me that tougher environmental protection criteria would be less selling of cars, especially SUVs to the rich and powerful. Shanghai has shut off its downtown to bicycles, thus hamstringing the workers, though it does increase spending (on environmentally destructive transportation); Beijing has tightened restrictions on auto emissions for the downtown, leaving the old non-restrictive polluting for the suburbs and countryside--who cares if the poor and working classes sicken and die?

As long as the bigwigs continue to do well. After all, there is an almost bottomless pit of replacement resources (people) who will take any employment at any below subsistence pay. So, why worry? Who said that? Alfred E. Newman? What was the name of his magazine?

Unveiling the 2006 data at a press conference in Beijing, Xie emphasised that while there were risks he did not believe the economy was yet in a state of overheating. -- Wow! A press conference. A meeting of selected reporters and news agencies who can be relied upon to report what they are told, no questions asked. Like the "agency" reporting the article I'm quoting. What, may I ask, is meant by an economy "overheating"? By juxtaposition, this would imply runaway spending and, therefore, is another truism: there is no possibility of either runaway spending or overheating. Even so, this is an intricately confusing statement.

Looking ahead he said he expected the economy to continue "steady and comparatively fast development" in 2007. -- Rein in those horses, Jim Hatfield! Save the runaway stage coach, John Wayne. What "steady and comparatively fast development"?

A 10.7% jump is steady development? And, again, we are left to ask where this development is taking place, for it's not in the everyday lives of the everyday people of China. So, whose "economic development" once again becomes the overriding unasked question.

Nonetheless, Xie said, government efforts to boost consumer spending were "still not seeing significant results". -- Damn those runaway steeds! How can restrictions on spending boost consumer spending? And why is consumer spending so terribly important? Is China Little America? Contrariness is always good: it confuses and confounds and puts an immediate end to embarrassing questions from people who know better than to ask in the first place.

"We're finding it hard to meet the target of changing our economic structure." -- Yeah. Right. 10.7% increase in economic growth is a sure sign of difficulty. What is difficult, however, is to get Chinese to spend rather than save. Since the banks take the money of the people and invest it in their own profiteering way, giving back a spit in the ocean to the people who have made their richness possible, one wonders why the people would be encouraged to spend. Wouldn't that mean less money for the banks to make a killing from? More confusion. . .when you think about it. . .if you think about it. . .

Other problems, he said, included a growing imbalance of payments and excess liquidity in the banking system. -- Eh? Too much money in the banking system? Does that mean too many people are saving money or the banks are making opprobrious profits? Is the "imbalance of payments" a dig at the US debt?

China's global trade surplus – the measure of money going into the country minus money going out, jumped by a record 74 per cent in 2006 to $177.5 bn. -- The only problem here is in punctuation. Uhh. . .wait a minute. Is this another dig at the US debt? Most of that $177.5 billion is owed by the US. Is this a veiled request for payment of the debt?

If China's economy continues to keep growing at the same pace it could leapfrog Germany by 2008, becoming the world's third largest economy after the US and Japan. -- Once again one wonders what in fact a "growing economy" measures and, therefore, means when the greater part of the country is struggling to survive. And I ask you. . .how can the US have "a growing economy" when its businesses are relocating to foreign countries and it owes money?

That is, the US is in debt. That is, the US has no money. How can you be growing when you ain't got nuttin' to grow on? Well, you know how the song goes, "I got plenty o' nothin' and nothin's plenty for me." China ain't got nothin', neither, but US IOU's.

So, where does this leave us? Oh, yes. . .what does this 10.7% economic growth really mean? Is life really only and all about economics? Isn't there more to life than someone making money and more money? And why is it only a few manage to do this? No. Wrong question. Why is it that only the few who manage to do this trample on those who can't or don't and consider them, these others (often called people), are expendable items (resources)? Yes. That's the right question.

In this light, then, economic growth is a measure of a country's Robbie Burns' man's inhumanity to man.

Jimsecor is a freelance writer who has travelled extensively overseas, especially Japan and China. He has published in all genre and produced several plays over the years and has taught theatre, writing and literature.

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Comments (11)
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1. 02-09-2007 09:27
China's Economy Surges on Right Past Re
When you write articles, pls have the credibility to put up comparative numbers with what you like to compare, US and China. The western countries have 100 years headstart on colonising the rest of the world to build up their own system and economy. It is like now asking a young boy to compete on equal terms with a fully grown adult. Yes, China have all the weakness you mentioned, but they are only 20 years into modernisation whereas US is already more than 100 years into modernisation. Maybe China don't need 100 years, 50 years for them to catch up for their peoples welfare. In terms of technology, I think it will be a very long long time!! It will always be interesting to watch how China and India match up in another 10 years time on its Peoples Welfare........ Another eg. Taiwan was corrupt, then authoritarian, now democratic, all because its people are now well fed, educated, secure, now they can talk of democracy. I believe China deserves a break after communism, famine, colonisation, Japan war of aggression. Compared to all these mentioned, today China is a PARADISE..... Hurray One Up for Progress..
wrl222@gmail.comNOSPAM! ">wong rong long
2. 20-11-2007 21:58
Demography
One tends to forget, when they compare a visit to China and their experience in the west, that China has 1.3 billion people. Yes not all Chinese have benefited from the economical development, but having said that, more people in China DID benefit in the past few years than in any other country or time in human history. It took 100 years fro the US to get to today's levels, and that's given the relative small population of the united states and the extreme poverty the rest of the world lived on during its development. Now consider 1.3 billion people trying to compete in a world where 10% people controls 50% of the world's resources. 
 
A more rigorous argument might be formated using some statistical mechanics, but it should not be difficult to see, to have every single Chinese living by middle class standard will require a lot higher than 10% growth, or a very long time.
3. 30-12-2007 20:36
No smoke without fire
The writer has indeed done his research and has a lot of things to say which are true and makes anyone think of how good the real picture of China is?  
 
Comparison with India is difficult as both countries basic approach towards the economy is different. China, is mostly owned and controlled by the government and the Chinese Army which is not at all the case with India and thus all the measures in China are taken to safe guard the welfare of both the institutions.
4. 31-12-2007 12:48
For a' that.
When I go to buy a household item, whatever; I find it has a high probability that it has been made in China especially common electrical goods. But the names of the manufacturers, are US, British, French, German, etc. 
Now it has been mentioned, that China has only had a limited time to develop its industries and economy. It should not be overlooked that James experiences of living in China are the truth without doubt . It seems to me that the attitude of the Chinese Government is similar to the English mill owners during the industrial revolution, people had to work very long hours, living and working like slaves in filthy conditions, mum dad and the kids. The cottage industries collapsed, crystal clear waters and streams, where once ran salmon trout and even sturgeon, became stinking polluted waterways, 
the air became foul. 
It appears that mankind does not learn from history, Robbie observed it well, 'man's inhumanity to man', it is a part of what we are as humans, until we rise above this base part of being human there will always be misery .  
To quote the beloved crofters son : ... That Sense and Worth, o'er the earth, Shall bear the gree(prize) an' a' that. 
For a' that, an' a' that. 
It's coming yet for a' that , That man to man , the world o'er , Shall brithers be far a' that. 
 
WE can live in hope. Mind you the brotherhood of man would be some peoples worst nightmare, for all that. 
 
Mike
5. 23-02-2008 03:40
The every day lives of Chinese are not i
Last year, 8m cars were sold in China. This is a country where just a few decades ago had nothing but bicycles. Last year, China had nearly 600 million people on cellphones. A decade ago, few people had phones of any kind.  
 
Last year, KFC grossed as much in China as the USA. That's Kentucky Fried Chicken being sold out in China. It's also the number overseas market for GM, Caterpillar and a list of other US companies.  
 
By any measures, the lives of the common Chinese is improving. Nothing is a better indicator than consumption numbers from year to year.  
 
There's a long way to go in China it is still desperately poor but you can't sit there and ignore the numbers that show massive growth in things being bought.  
 
The numbers are historic in nature. China has passed in the US in consuming (not just exporting) refrigerators, color televisions, meat and just about anything else you could name. 
 
Again this is from a nation that just 30 years ago was completely isolated and consumed as little on average as sub-Saharan Africa.
Traveler
6. 23-02-2008 03:53
Yes, the Ivory Tower is nice
"It seems to me that the attitude of the Chinese Government is similar to the English mill owners during the industrial revolution, people had to work very long hours, living and working like slaves in filthy conditions, mum dad and the kids." 
 
Without those mill owners and the Industrial Revolution, England would be as dirt poor as China is today.  
 
Every developed nation today -- EVERY single one of them -- did what it can to get rich first and then deal with the inequities and problems once they had the money.  
 
You can't deal with problems when you are a poor peasant living hand to mouth. We see that in Africa. China was exactly like Africa just 20 years ago. Much of its rural areas are still like Africa today so people are rushing to the mills and factories that you say are "inhuman." Sorry, starvation is far more inhuman. 
 
The reason people work those horrendous hours in the mills (whether in Victorian England or modern day China) is the mills are infinitely better than the grinding poverty of the farm.
Traveler
7. 23-02-2008 12:23
Mills.
Actually the mills replaced a cottage industry. Made great wealth for the mill owners. 
What I have seen of Chinas wealth at this time, it is not universal throughout the population, the rich get richer the poor get poorer.(yes I know there is a middle bunch). 
As for dealing with the inequities caused by industrialization, well it took two world wars, a Bolshevik uprising, massive industrial unrest, this barely scratches the surface.  
The point is why does China have to blindly follow Europe\'s callous ways. 
As for the consumption of KFC, Lord help them, I prefer food myself. 
As for Africa, that\'s got everything to do with the mess left behind by the colonialist. 
There is nothing wrong with industrial progress, 
but the master slave mentality, could and most likely will bring the whole house of cards down. It does not have to be like that, i.e. the new feudalism. That was what was exercised during that period in British history. 
What you seem to be implying is it\'s OK to exploit people who have no recourse, I believe that is a mill owner mentality. 
As a youth I worked part time on a mixed arable farm in North East Scotland, howked tatties, cleaned the byre, painted roosting polls, worked the sheep. Yes it was bloody cold hard work, but the whole farm family was well fed and they were o\'er happy folk. And they looked after me fine wheel.  
 
Mike
8. 24-02-2008 05:35
Mills.
"What I have seen of Chinas wealth at this time, it is not universal throughout the population, the rich get richer the poor get poorer.(yes I know there is a middle bunch). " 
 
China is still poor as hell so why do you expect wealth to be "uniform"? The fact that so much refrigerators, automobiles and fried chicken is sold in China today compared to the non-existent amount sold 10 years ago means that the population is improving. You can't buy volume in the way that China is consuming unless a wide swath of the population is improving. A millionaire won't buy 30000 refrigerators or cell phones. It takes millions of people with growing income to consume the way that China is doing today. 
 
"As for the consumption of KFC, Lord help them, I prefer food myself. " 
 
The question was not whether KFC is proper food. The question was that a population where life of the common folk is not improving would not support such profits by KFC. The mine owners don't eat at KFC and the peasants can't afford it. You need a growing working class with disposal income to allow KFC to grow year on year in China so that it now grosses as much there as the US. 
 
"but the whole farm family was well fed and they were o\'er happy folk."  
 
You take one farm family in an industrialized country like England where they are not competing against a half billion other subsistent farmers on half-acre plots of land and extrapolate happy lives as for peasants? .  
 
Stop living in your ivory tower. If farm life was so "happy" then no one in China would leave the farm and subject themselves to "slavery." 
 
I'm sure there are happy farmers in China as well. Calories intake in China has shot up to astronomical levels. (So has problems in obesity, diabetes and heart disease.) Again this indicates massive consumption by a large segment of the working population.  
 
Again, China is still poor as hell but it is far better off than before the factories and "mill owners." And unlike before, the consumption levels go up every year meaning more and more people are gaining surplus income.
Traveler
9. 24-02-2008 12:27
Slavery.
Stop living in your ivory tower. If farm life was so \"happy\" then no one in China would leave the farm and subject themselves to \"slavery.\"  
Slavery? Hmm. 
I\'m sure there are happy farmers in China as well. Calories intake in China has shot up to astronomical levels. (So has problems in obesity, diabetes and heart disease.) Again this indicates massive consumption by a large segment of the working population.  
Is the sign of wealth degenerate illness?  
I do believe that much farm land in China has been swallowed up by hydro schemes, and mining also development. 
The argument is not whether China should develop as a nation, but how it does. 
But the truth is I suppose the people of power are people that\'s it, therefore full of the usual greed and lust for power and control. Therefore history of Europe will be lost to them. 
I can only say that I am glad that I did not have to work in slave conditions, I feel for all those past and present that did. 
You see just because this approach was always done in the past does not make it right. 
Therefore bad outcomes will come from China\'s approach, as it has always has in the past. 
Also the fact that Chinas industrial workers work in slave condition,(slavery as you put it), has slowly and insidiously impacted on the western manufacturing industries. 
Is the answer to reintroduce slavery to the West. 
And I don\'t think James Secor dwells in an ivory tower no more than I.
10. 24-02-2008 14:21
Slavery.
"Therefore bad outcomes will come from China\'s approach, as it has always has in the past. " 
 
How bad can the outcome be when the European nations are the richest ones on earth by following that? 
 
What are you suggesting? That China's peasants stay as subsistence farmers rather than launching their descendants on the same path as the UK or United States that ultimately leads to a wealthier future? 
 
"Slavery" is a term that you use for "mill" work. No man will subject himself to slavery if he is in a better condition. The fact is the life of the farmer is worse slavery than the factory which is why peasants leave the farmland for the factory. 
 
Seriously, there is nothing but musing from an ivory tower when you suggest that people forgo industrialization and stay dirt poor and starving on the farm.  
 
A nation that has no money can't solve any problem. There are not a lot of happy peasants in Africa. There never were. Even before the white man came. There wasn't a lot of a happy people among the serfs of feudal Europe before industrialization came. 
 
I've been to China multiple times. I saw the grinding poverty of the place in the early 1980s. I see it today. And I can tell you that people are better off a thousand fold. Back then a whole village would have one phone. Now everyone carries a cell. 
 
Back then, food itself was scarce. Today the markets are full. China can thank the factories and mills for that.
Traveler
11. 25-02-2008 04:41
Finale
This is my final comment. 
I too have travelled the world and seen terrible things. 
But you havent been understanding my line. 
How many lives did progress cost 
in Europe. And World Wide. 
 
Have a good dain. 
 
Mike

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