| Global Food Crisis |
| Editorial | |||||||||
| By Gideon Polya | |||||||||
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US Biofuel & CO2 threaten billions The United States (US) is currently using about 9% of its wheat, 25% of its corn and about 15% of its grain in general to produce biofuel. The United Kingdom (UK) has committed to large increases in the use of biofuels over coming decades, has recently announced subsidies for biofuel and supports the European Commission (EU) target requiring 10 per cent of petrol station fuel to be plant-derived biofuel within 12 years. However the huge and intrinsically genocidal US diversion of 15% of its grain crop to biofuel production has had a huge impact already on soaring global food prices – the world is already facing a global food crisis with alarm being expressed by UN, FAO and other scientific experts. Thus the UK Chief Scientific Adviser, Professor John Beddington CMG, FRS (Professor of Applied Population Biology at Imperial College, London.) has described the devastating potential of food shortages as an "elephant in the room" problem commensurate with that from climate change and warns that biofuel diversion (e.g. for canola oil- or palm oil-derived biodiesel and grain- or sugar-derived ethanol) is threatening world food production and the lives of “billions” (see: here): "It's very hard to imagine how we can see the world growing enough crops to produce renewable energy and at the same time meet the enormous demand for food. The supply of food really isn't keeping up." Recently Finance Indian Finance Minister P. Chidambaram has said that it is "outrageous" that developed countries are turning food crops into biofuels while billions of people in the developing countries are living on the edge and trying to cope with escalating food prices (see: here ). Numerous Mainstream media reports are describing how we now have a global food crisis with the spectre of widespread famine due to escalating grain and food prices – in a harsh, globalized market place those that cannot afford to buy food will simply starve unless rescued. Yet the UN and FAO are finding it acutely difficult to rescue such people. These food price rises in turn are because of the huge US and indeed Western biofuel diversion, complicated by climate change (impacting on drought in Australia and Canada), weather (e.g. too much rain the US), hedging speculation and diversion for livestock production. For an alarming graph of world food and wheat prices in recent years see the following report by Australian economists showing that the price of wheat in US dollars has doubled in the last year . The world may be seeing the commencement of a re-run - on a possibly 100-fold greater scale - of the man-made World War 2 Bengali Holocaust in which 6-7 million people perished in Bengal and in the adjoining provinces of Assam, Bihar and Orissa under the merciless British “scorched earth policy” when the price of rice doubled and finally doubled again (see: here ). Ten years ago I published a book entitled “Jane Austen and the Black Hole of British History” in which I described horrendous man-made, market-forces famines in British-ruled India from the 1769-1770 Great Bengal Famine (10 million deaths or one third of the Bengali population) to the World War 2 Bengal Famine (6-7 million deaths in the Bengal region). These catastrophes have been deliberately erased from British history and from general public perception – leading to the acute danger of History ignored yielding History repeated. My pleas for action to prevent further such catastrophes have fallen on deaf ears. Bengal is now acutely threatened not only from global food price rises but also from inundation from global-warming-driven sea level rises. A quarter of a century ago the US National Security Council under Henry Kissinger prepared a 200-page study “National Security Study Memorandum 200: Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for U.S. National security and Overseas Interests” (NSSM200). NSSM200 expressed concern over bourgeoning populations in Africa, Asia and Latin America and how America could assist in population control through sensibly-directed aid for agriculture, female education and fertility control. Back in 1974 the NSSM200 estimated that 10 -20 million people died avoidably each year from deprivation. After exhaustive analysis of excess deaths (avoidable death) for every country in the world since 1950 I estimated (2003 figures) about 16 million avoidable deaths annually of which about 9.5 million were under-5 year old infants (see the Tables at the end of Risk Management, Science and Denial ). Now in 2008, genocidal US biofuel policies and world-leading greenhouse gas (GHG) pollution make the US the genocidal villain in a mounting catastrophe. This carnage is being increasingly climate change-impacted. Indeed Britain’s top climate change expert Professor James Lovelock FRS estimates that over 6 billion people will die avoidably this century due to unaddressed climate change and catastrophic losses in agricultural production. Now the Chief Scientific Adviser of the British Government, Professor Beddington, warns that this scenario is upon us already and billions are at risk from price rises due to biofuel diversion. The intellectual obscenity is the falsity of the proposition that biofuels represent a “green” solution to fossil fuel burning and the “peak oil” phenomenon (we are running out of oil and the price of crude oil has now exceeded UA$100 per barrel). However the “green-ness” of biofuel is incorrect. Recent US research by Fargione and co-workers and published in the prestigious scientific journal Science (see: here) has shown that diversion of land to growing biofuel crops can produce an enormous “CO2 debt” from use of machinery, fertilizers, release of carbon from the soil and loss of CO2 sequestration by trees and other plants, “Increasing energy use, climate change, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil fuels make switching to low-carbon fuels a high priority. Biofuels are a potential low-carbon energy source, but whether biofuels offer carbon savings depends on how they are produced. Converting rainforests, peatlands, savannas, or grasslands to produce food crop–based biofuels in Brazil, Southeast Asia, and the United States creates a "biofuel carbon debt" by releasing 17 to 420 times more CO2 than the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions that these biofuels would provide by displacing fossil fuels. In contrast, biofuels made from waste biomass or from biomass grown on degraded and abandoned agricultural lands planted with perennials incur little or no carbon debt and can offer immediate and sustained GHG advantages.” The biofuel-exacerbated food price rises are compounded by erosion of agricultural productivity in the Developing World through climate change. Yet the same Developed countries that are behind the push to biofuels are the same Developed countries with the highest annual per capita CO2 pollution, with Australia and the US being major climate criminal culprits. Australia, which only signed up to Kyoto a few months ago, is the World’s #1 per capita fossil fuel-derived CO2 polluter by far, the world’s #1 coal exporter and the world’s #3 exporter of sugar (a major carbon source of for ethanol production). The US is (now with China) the world’s top greenhouse gas (GHG) polluter but has over 4 times less population than China; it refuses to sign Kyoto; and it uses about 15% of its grain for biofuel in a world in which two thirds of population is malnourished. As we stare into the Abyss, what can decent folk do? Decent folk must inform everyone they can about the mounting disaster and oppose all those complicit in climate criminal, genocidal US and Australian biofuel perversion and profligate greenhouse gas pollution. We have come to a pass in which urgent, punitive Sanctions, Boycotts, Green Tariffs and Reparations will be required to stop the mounting global food crisis and the food price-driven Third World Genocide.
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1. 29-03-2008 07:07 Bio Fuels waste oil and food Bio Fuels waste both food and oil, as documented in this report: http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html Guest 2. 29-03-2008 07:51 CO2 will increase the food supply CO2 will increase the food supply. Over 400 World Wide Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007. See http://tinyurl.com/2dv6nz Guest 3. 29-03-2008 08:15 CO2 will increase the food supply Quote:
Over 3500 World Wide Prominent Scientists say otherwise. You don't need to be world prominent scientist to notice that they are correct. Just not being blind to the facts would do the job. Guest 4. 29-03-2008 08:26 "The biofuel hoax is causing a world fo In practical terms, there is not enough usable land area to grow a sufficient quantity of biofuel plants to meet the world's energy demands. Even if the USA dedicated 100% of our corn and soybean production to biofuels, we would only satisfy 12% of gasoline demand and 6% of diesel demand. To quote Stuart Staniford, "The biofuel potential of the entire human food supply is quite a small amount of energy compared to the global oil supply - somewhere between 15 to 20% on a volumetric basis, so 10 to 15% on an energy basis." Every year the human race burns up the equivalent of 400 years worth of planetary vegetation in the condensed form of fossil fuels. How are we going to replace all that concentrated energy by growing biofuel crops on our desperately overpopulated, pure water starved little planet? Guest 5. 29-03-2008 18:14 Rice price doubles in 3 months THE LATEST: The New York Times reports that QUOTE “rising prices and a growing fear of scarcity have prompted some of the world’s largest rice producers to announce drastic limits on the amount of rice they export. The price of rice, a staple in the diets of nearly half the world’s population, has almost doubled on international markets in the last three months. That has pinched the budgets of millions of poor Asians and raised fears of civil unrest” END QUOTE (New York Times, March 29, 2008 “High rice cost raising fears of Asia unrest”: New York Times, 29 March 2008). The "forgotten", man-made WW2 Bengal Famine (Bengali Holocaust)of 1943-1945 that killed 6-7 million people kicked off when the price of rice doubled and then ultimately quadrupled - the world is facing a disaster. Guest 6. 04-05-2008 10:53 Rice price doubles in 3 months Dr. Polya, Near the end of this article you state, "The US is (now with China) the world’s top greenhouse gas (GHG) polluter but has over 4 times the Chinese population; it refuses to sign Kyoto; and it uses about 15% of its grain for biofuel in a world in which two thirds of population is malnourished." I am wondering how the U.S. has 4 times the population of China? I would like to know what you meant to write. Guest 7. 04-05-2008 12:24 China 1.3 bn, US 0.3 bn people Thank you very much Sofia. Mea culpa. US population is 0.3 million, China population 1.3 billion. I meant to say in the second last paragraph : "The US is (now with China) the world’s top greenhouse gas (GHG) polluter but has over 4 times LESS population than China". Guest 8. 04-05-2008 12:27 China 1.3 bn, US 0.3 bn people Sorry again (haven't had my first cup of coffee). US population, 0.3 BILLION, China population 1.3 BILLION. Guest Write Comment
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