| Why the vice-presidency still might be Hillary’s |
| Political Views | |||||||||
| By Don Williams | |||||||||
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Why the vice-presidency still might be Hillary’s for the asking Hillary Clinton’s recent invocation of Robert F. Kennedy’s assassination in 1968 has damaged not only her reputation, but it’s hurt Barack Obama’s chances of becoming president. Obama’s best chance to win the "white working people" she frequently invokes--not to mention "women of a certain age" who have been her fiercest advocates—would be to ask her to join the ticket. She’s made that virtually impossible by making her candidacy nearly radioactive. Still, her supporters are likely to be miffed. Many will blame the media for twisting her words, which were, simply: "We all remember Bobby Kennedy was assassinated in June in California." And depending on what Obama does between now and November, they could stay away from the polls in droves. Too bad. Until Friday, May 23, she had an even chance of ending up on the ticket as candidate for vice-president. It couldn’t have gone the other way, of course. Barring the formerly unspeakable, the only way for Hillary to win the Democratic nomination this year would be by painting Obama as unelectable. True, she could let someone else do the Swift-boating, but either way it would leave him unsuited for second spot on a Clinton ticket. Prospects of a Clinton-Obama ticket have been remote for some time. Until May 23, though, Hillary was poised beautifully to become the first female vice-president of the United States, if she wanted it. Consider: 1. She held the power. 2. She had the incentives. 3. Obama-Clinton would likely win. Ouch. I take it from the rotten tomatoes whizzing my way that you’re not convinced. OK, let’s take those three points one at a time. One. She had the power, maybe still does. If she were to phone Obama today and say, "Barack, put me on the ticket or I’ll withhold my support," what would be his alternative? Yes, he could find someone else. There’s no shortage of good candidates. And he might even win without her active support, for reasons I’ll go into. But that scenario doesn’t disprove my premise that she holds considerable bargaining power. Suppose, for instance, she goes a step further and says, "Barack, I’m laying my cards on the table. Put me on the ticket or I’ll fight you all the way through the convention and make it ugly, just as our dear Teddy Kennedy made it ugly for Jimmy Carter in 1980. I won’t hug you. I won’t shake hands, I won’t stand on the same stage with you, and I might find sufficient reason to lead hundreds of delegates—especially angry women--from the convention hall and divide this party clear through November." This could happen anyway, especially if Hillary supporters believe she was cheated out of votes from Florida and Michigan. "We’re in Year Six of a botched occupation. Almost nobody’s happy about it. As a commentator suggested May 18 on Meet the Press, it’s as if McCain took the Bush family name by supporting Bush’s war-mongering speech before the Israeli Knesset earlier this month: Like it or not, his name might as well be John McCain Bush now. " Don’t think she’d play this card? She played the Tony Rezko "slumlord" card. She played the "working class whites" card too. Either way, though, it brings us to… Point Two: She has the incentive. Hillary’s made history already. No woman ever marched this close to the Democratic nomination for president. She could add luster to her Crown of Firsts by becoming first woman to serve as vice-president and by serving on the first major ticket with a person of color. Now she has added incentive because, face it, her run for top of the ticket is done. Furthermore, should Obama-Clinton win, she would stand a heartbeat away from the presidency, as her words of May 23, suggested. Safety is an issue for both these candidates. For reasons of karma and tact, I’ll say no more about that. Point Three: Obama-Clinton would beat McCain-Lieberman or anyone else. Recently, Virginia Rep. Tom Davis called Bush "radioactive" and compared the Republican Party to an airplane headed for a mountain in the dark. Coming from a Republican, those are scary analogies. In recent special elections, Republicans lost three congressional seats they thought secure. Polls show Democrats dramatically ahead in nearly every category nationally. Meanwhile, McCain’s errors are piling up. Like Bush, he’s bet his place in history on the war in Iraq. Bad bet. While the Surge helped McCain win the Republican base in primaries, the war works against him from here on. We’re in Year Six of a botched occupation. Almost nobody’s happy about it. As a commentator suggested May 18 on Meet the Press, it’s as if McCain took the Bush family name by supporting Bush’s war-mongering speech before the Israeli Knesset earlier this month: Like it or not, his name might as well be John McCain Bush now. This is just one of many McCain miscues. He’s made a series of remarkable gaffs, displaying confusion regarding Shiites and Sunnis, the number of years we’d have soldiers in Iraq, the meaning of appeasement, and fine points of the economy. He’s had to fire staffers who served as lobbyists for unsavory associates, including dictators, and cancel endorsements of two ministers who are easily as nutty, if not nuttier, than Jeremiah Wright. While it’s true that electing the oldest president ever would make history, this isn’t the sort of history making that attracts voters. Electing a man of color holds a certain pizzazz. Electing a woman holds a certain edgy glamour. Electing an old guy? Not so much. For all these reasons, I believe the vice-presidency could’ve been Hillary’s for the asking, until May 23. Maybe it’s not completely dead even now. Could Obama summon the goodwill and good sense to overlook this gaffe in the interests of his party and his own chance at making history? Asking Hillary to be his running mate would demonstrate an almost transcendent big-mindedness, largeness of spirit and good will. But then, that’s what he’s been running on isn’t it?
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1. 24-05-2008 06:58 Wow... that's pretty delusional... Better get used to the fact that Hillary has no future in politics any more. Three times she has made inference to the Bobby Kennedy assassination, and now, very clearly, she connected it to a dim hope that "something will happen" and she might get the nomination. Clearly, narcissistic sociopaths like Hillary Clinton have no place in politics, and all the Hillocaust deniers who would excuse her reprehensible comments can join her. Guest 2. 24-05-2008 07:46 Clinton Will Never Make the Ticket Something you don't understand about the Obama campaign is that it's run by 1.5 million donors. These are people who've given an average of $95. They are invested. Look to the dust up in California over purging the delegate list. It backfired on the Obama campaign and they had to listen to their backers. It's the same thing here. It's too risky to take on Clinton. Without Clinton on the ticket, you risk some Clinton supporters going to McCain. With Clinton on the ticket you risk your base supporters seeing it as politics as usual. Guest 3. 24-05-2008 07:59 GAFFE? It wasn't a gaffe, as you so graciously said in your article. It was a purposeful and malicious statement. Malicious and that is what she is. She has done NOTHING for feminism, nothing. Obama would neve be able to trust her, he'd be watching all the time. Hillary cares about noone but herslf, period!!!! Guest 4. 24-05-2008 08:48 McCain Should Pick Gov. Palin NOW, not L Here's an important piece of advice: If it looks like it's going to be McCain/Palin anyway (and that should be a "no brainer" for Team McCain), McCain should announce NOW or VERY SOON, rather than later towards the convention. There's currently a growing chorus for Obama/Hillary (as VP) ticket (in fact the Dems are likely aware of the Palin phenomenon). If the GOP waits while movement for Hillary as VP grows -- even worse until after it is solidified that Hillary will/could be VP pick -- selecting Palin will be portrayed by Dems/liberal media more as a reaction by GOP selecting its own female (overshawdoing Palin's own remarkable assets), rather than McCain taking the lead on this. Selecting Palin now or early (contrary to the punditocracy) will mean McCain will be seen as driving the course of this campaign overwhelmingly, and the DEMS will be seen as merely reacting. And, there's absoultely no down-side to this because even if Hillary is a no-go as VP for Obama, the GOP gains by acting early. McCain the maverick. Palin the maverick. Do it now! There's no reason, and actually substantial negative, in McCain waiting to see what the Dems do first insofar as his picking Palin as VP, because, no matter who Obama picks, Palin is by far (and I mean far) the best pick for McCain and the GOP, especially in this time of GOP woes. The GOP can be seen as the party of real 'change' (albeit I hate that mantra, change, change, bla bla), while not really having to change from GOP core conservative values, which Palin more than represents. In light of the current oil/energy situation, as well as the disaffected female Hillary voters situation, and growing focus on McCain's age and health, Palin is more than perfect -- now. (Perhaps Team McCain is already on to this.) Guest Write Comment
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